2016年7月14日木曜日

Q10. Does Japan have enough time to prepare to hold the Tokyo Olympic?

The simple answer will be: The time to prepare for the Tokyo Olympic in 2020 is not so much, from the many perspectives.

The biggest problem of the Tokyo Olympic in 2020 will be the delay of construction of the new Tokyo National Stadium, but I will focus on this problem in the next question 11.

Not only the Tokyo Olympic in 2020 but also the previous Olympics held in overseas such as Sochi, Rio De Janeiro and Athens, except for the Beijing Olympic in 2008 and the London Olympic in 2012. The main cause of the delay of the preparation for the Olympic was the political or the economic problems.

According to Tatsuo Furuhata, the technology consultant, he thinks that there are three reasons to think that Japan does not have enough time to prepare to hold the Tokyo Olympics in 2020.

First, the risk of the earthquake that directly hits Tokyo area when the Tokyo Olympic is held. When the Great East Earthquake in 2011 was occurred, the seismic intensity was 5 upper, however, it is estimated that if the earthquake that directly hits Tokyo area, the seisimic intesity will be 7. In 2004, Education science of earthquake research Committee estimated that by 2034 the possibility of occurring the big earthquake is about 70%. So it is not strange to occur the big earthquake in Japan. If Japan does not think about the disaster countermeasure enough, the damage will be heavier more and more. If the damage becomes heavier, the preparation of the Tokyo Olympic will delay in large extent and at the worst, the Tokyo Olympic itself will be cancelled. So, Japan should prepare for the Tokyo Olympics in 2020 in terms of the big earthquake, regarding the Great East Earthquake in 2011 as the lesson for countermeasure for the disaster.

Second,  the number of the workers of construction will decrease. The number of construction workers is decreasing from 1996 because of the shrinking of the market and the rapid population aging. On the other hand, these days, the public works are increasing and construction investment of the demand of the recovery from the Great East Earthquake in 2011 are spreading. So the lack of the workers of construction is becoming more serious problem. Actually the fund for reconstruction costs higher than the direct construction investment for the maintainance of the facilities for the place of the Tokyo Olympic in 2020.  With these current circumstances, it is difficult for young people to have the motivation to work on the construction.

Third, the financial difficulties which was brought by the hardships of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. In the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, there are many problems held by them, such as the constitutional amendment, the TPP problem, the rework of the nuclear power plants and the financial difficulties brought by the outflow of the currency accompanied by the offshore procurement of the fuels caused by the postponement of the Consumption tax hike and the stop of the nuclear power plants. By worsening these problems, there will be the risks of reducing the government spending and the delaying of the construction of the facilities for the Tokyo Olympics.

With these reasons it can be said that Japan does not have enough time to prepare to hold the Tokyo Olympic.

I trust the two citations which are written at the bottom of this blog post.
In terms of the article by huffington post, I thought that this article was written by the specialist of the technology consulting and the reasons why Japan does not have enough time to prepare for the Tokyo Olympic in 2020 with very clear evidence in detail. Also, what I thought this was good that this article includes the previous cases connecting with delaying of the preparation for the Olympic Games. So we can compare the delay of the preparation for between the Tokyo Olympics in 2020 and the previous Olympic Games.
As for the article from Financial Times, I think that this web page described the situation of the preparation for the Tokyo Olympics in 2020, focusing on the construction of the Tokyo National Stadium. I will write about this problem with focusing on this problem in the next question, but I thought that through this article we could understand this big problem of the Tokyo Olympics in 2020.

I think that Japan does not have enough time to hold the Tokyo Olympic, too. These days Japan holds many problems to deal with, especially, connected with Tokyo Olympics, the economic problems and the plan to show the recovery from the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011. So Japan should work on these problems more actively in order to be able to hold the safe and smooth Tokyo Olympics by 2020. Furthermore, the problems Japan should deal with should be worked on not only before and during the Tokyo Olympics but also after the Tokyo Olympics. However, at first, Japan should set the goals to hosting Tokyo Olympics in 2020 and work on the problems with all Japanese, too.
In this short period to prepare for the Tokyo Olympics, Japan should think about a lot of problems from various perspectives, such as the opinions of the citizens and the economic situations.
I think that it can be said that Japan has already taken a step forward to get ready for the Tokyo Olympics by dealing with the problems in Japan, not only by planning and preparing for the Tokyo Olympics more directly.


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